📄 end of year trading.afl
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//------------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
// Formula Name: End Of Year Trading
// Author/Uploader: cemays
// E-mail:
// Date/Time Added: 2006-07-09 13:29:46
// Origin: Winning with the Dow's Losers by Charles B. Carlson.
// Keywords:
// Level: basic
// Flags: system
// Formula URL: http://www.amibroker.com/library/formula.php?id=634
// Details URL: http://www.amibroker.com/library/detail.php?id=634
//
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------
//
// Trade only Dow Industrial Stocks at the end of year and only buy those
// stocks that have lost the most the previous year. Doing backtest over from
// Jan 1, 1995 to Dec 31, 2005 shows a 3 stock portfolio would do the be with
// a 25% annual gain but had a system drawdown of 38%.
//
//------------------------------------------------------------------------------
//Set the amount of open positions
PosQty = Param ( "PosQty", 5, 1, 10, 1); // You can define here how many open positions you want
SetOption("MaxOpenPositions", PosQty );
//Divide your total amount of equity across your number of positions.
PositionSize = -100/PosQty; // invest 100% of portfolio equity divided by max. position count
//Buy on the first day of the year
Buy = IIf(DayOfYear() < Ref(DayOfYear(), -1), 1, 0);
//Sell On the Last Day Of the Year (this is only used for backtesting since you will always close your positions
// on the last day of the year.
Sell = IIf(DayOfYear() > Ref(DayOfYear(), 1), 1, 0);
//Determine which of the 30 dow stocks you are going to buy or sell based upon
//the ones that have went down the most over the past Year
YearRoc = ROC(Close, 252);
// The position score allows you to pick the one that has decreased by the most. By taking the negative of that
// you get the one that you want to buy. You could use PositionScore = YearRoc; if you were
// looking to Short stocks
PositionScore = -YearRoc;
// This just lets you explore at the end of the year which stocks you would want to buy.
AddColumn(YearRoc, "YearRoc");
Filter = Status("lastbarinrange");
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