mcest.m

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function [alpha, beta] = mcest(d,n)% PURPOSE: function called by raftery.m% ------------------------------------------------% SEE ALSO: coda(), prt()% ------------------------------------------------% REFERENCES: Geweke (1992), `Evaluating the accuracy of sampling-based% approaches to the calculation of posterior moments', in J.O. Berger,% J.M. Bernardo, A.P. Dawid, and A.F.M. Smith (eds.) Proceedings of% the Fourth Valencia International Meeting on Bayesian Statistics,% pp. 169-194, Oxford University Press% Also: `Using simulation methods for Bayesian econometric models: % Inference, development and communication', at: www.econ.umn.edu/~bacc% -----------------------------------------------------------------% written by:% James P. LeSage, Dept of Economics% University of Toledo% 2801 W. Bancroft St,% Toledo, OH 43606% jpl@jpl.econ.utoledo.edu % NOTE: this code draws heavily on MATLAB programs written by% Siddartha Chib available at: www.econ.umn.edu/~bacc% I have repackaged it to make it easier to use. t = zeros(2,2); for i1 = 2:n; t(d(i1-1)+1,d(i1)+1) = t(d(i1-1)+1,d(i1)+1)+1; end; alpha = t(1,2)/(t(1,1)+t(1,2)); beta = t(2,1)/(t(2,1)+t(2,2));

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