melbmax.r

r软件 另一软件 包 计算核估计 必须先安装r软件

maxtemp <- ts(c(
38.1,
32.4,
34.5,
20.7,
21.5,
23.1,
29.7,
36.6,
36.1,
20.6,
20.4,
30.1,
38.7,
41.4,
37.0,
36.0,
37.0,
38.0,
23.0,
26.7,
27.5,
21.7,
22.9,
26.2,
36.5,
41.8,
21.5,
19.2,
25.0,
28.9,
23.2,
31.5,
36.2,
38.2,
26.4,
20.9,
21.5,
30.2,
33.4,
32.6,
22.2,
21.7,
30.0,
35.7,
32.8,
39.3,
25.5,
23.0,
19.9,
21.3,
20.8,
21.7,
23.8,
29.0,
23.7,
21.3,
28.5,
33.6,
34.6,
34.2,
27.0,
24.2,
19.9,
19.7,
21.5,
30.6,
30.0,
19.0,
19.6,
20.6,
23.6,
17.9,
17.3,
21.4,
24.1,
20.9,
30.1,
32.6,
21.3,
19.5,
19.9,
21.0,
25.4,
17.5,
20.4,
26.8,
25.8,
20.9,
19.4,
25.8,
26.3,
29.6,
30.3,
23.6,
28.4,
20.7,
24.1,
27.3,
23.2,
18.3,
24.6,
27.4,
20.4,
18.1,
25.2,
19.8,
21.0,
23.7,
19.6,
18.1,
20.8,
26.0,
18.4,
22.0,
14.4,
19.9,
22.6,
13.7,
15.9,
21.2,
23.7,
24.0,
17.2,
23.2,
25.2,
17.2,
16.0,
15.6,
13.4,
16.0,
16.8,
14.6,
19.4,
21.0,
19.5,
18.5,
13.3,
13.7,
14.3,
14.1,
11.4,
13.6,
16.6,
17.6,
14.6,
17.2,
14.4,
16.4,
17.3,
17.6,
17.2,
17.7,
14.2,
16.6,
15.7,
13.7,
14.7,
13.1,
12.9,
15.4,
11.9,
15.2,
15.3,
16.5,
16.1,
11.7,
11.2,
11.5,
10.8,
16.1,
14.8,
13.6,
13.8,
 9.7,
10.7,
11.0,
15.3,
15.3,
17.0,
16.0,
16.3,
15.7,
14.5,
10.8,
10.5,
13.4,
12.2,
13.2,
13.0,
12.4,
13.1,
 9.8,
10.5,
13.4,
11.0,
13.1,
15.0,
16.7,
16.1,
18.2,
15.7,
17.7,
15.9,
15.1,
15.2,
14.7,
13.3,
14.5,
11.1,
13.1,
13.7,
14.6,
12.9,
12.8,
15.2,
14.5,
17.2,
14.5,
14.4,
11.0,
13.1,
13.6,
14.6,
12.7,
13.6,
12.7,
15.5,
17.4,
15.2,
14.2,
17.7,
19.2,
12.5,
14.2,
15.3,
15.7,
17.0,
19.0,
13.1,
13.2,
13.2,
15.7,
14.1,
15.6,
15.5,
15.9,
15.1,
16.0,
19.4,
21.5,
23.7,
18.7,
23.8,
18.0,
16.2,
18.5,
20.6,
18.3,
22.5,
26.9,
19.4,
15.9,
20.5,
21.2,
19.5,
14.7,
17.6,
15.8,
17.7,
14.3,
16.8,
18.6,
21.9,
21.4,
20.8,
14.0,
17.0,
23.0,
26.4,
19.6,
22.7,
26.9,
14.7,
15.2,
19.8,
26.9,
20.2,
14.3,
14.8,
18.5,
21.7,
21.4,
21.8,
18.2,
15.8,
15.3,
18.5,
19.2,
28.5,
32.2,
21.8,
22.1,
20.7,
17.0,
24.7,
26.2,
29.0,
21.6,
17.1,
16.9,
19.1,
24.7,
25.4,
19.8,
18.2,
16.3,
17.0,
17.7,
15.5,
14.7,
15.8,
19.9,
20.4,
23.3,
20.2,
28.8,
31.2,
17.4,
18.5,
26.8,
34.3,
30.1,
20.5,
20.5,
19.8,
27.0,
21.0,
33.0,
22.6,
28.3,
21.1,
19.0,
17.3,
27.0,
30.2,
24.8,
17.9,
17.9,
20.7,
30.9,
36.2,
21.0,
20.2,
21.3,
24.2,
21.0,
20.7,
17.8,
19.6,
22.6,
20.5,
24.1,
22.2,
27.0,
33.6,
26.6,
20.6,
24.5,
19.8,
22.6,
29.2,
20.3,
23.0,
24.4,
38.0,
40.5,
24.2,
20.2,
21.8,
27.0,
35.2,
25.2,
32.7,
35.9,
38.9,
26.5,
21.8,
37.9,
43.3,
19.0,
19.7,
21.4,
32.0,
33.3,
22.2,
21.3,
20.8,
22.3,
22.5,
21.4,
23.0,
35.1,
40.3,
39.0,
21.1,
25.4,
23.6,
28.1,
37.0,
39.3,
39.4,
25.8,
27.7,
23.0,
24.0,
26.1,
21.8,
24.2,
22.3,
19.7,
20.8,
17.9,
20.1,
20.9,
21.2,
20.4,
29.0,
34.7,
34.0,
30.9,
29.6,
26.1,
18.5,
21.2,
22.4,
21.4,
30.5,
32.0,
32.7,
27.4,
18.9,
19.4,
22.2,
30.2,
31.8,
31.4,
18.5,
22.2,
27.5,
25.8,
25.2,
19.1,
19.6,
21.4,
20.7,
28.3,
23.0,
16.5,
18.8,
20.0,
20.6,
19.8,
20.3,
26.6,
21.5,
22.3,
26.5,
27.1,
30.0,
28.2,
17.3,
16.8,
17.5,
19.2,
20.3,
20.6,
23.7,
24.3,
26.4,
16.0,
14.5,
14.2,
16.5,
15.7,
16.0,
16.7,
19.8,
22.5,
22.9,
18.8,
15.7,
14.7,
15.3,
15.3,
18.0,
15.1,
15.1,
13.6,
15.3,
18.0,
18.6,
22.0,
22.1,
17.8,
15.2,
11.3,
13.5,
16.1,
16.0,
16.5,
16.7,
19.6,
19.5,
18.0,
18.4,
12.9,
14.9,
12.4,
11.9,
11.7,
12.9,
12.9,
12.4,
12.5,
15.7,
15.9,
14.3,
16.9,
14.0,
13.6,
13.7,
16.0,
13.1,
13.8,
13.4,
11.3,
10.6,
13.9,
12.7,
12.5,
11.3,
11.6,
14.0,
13.7,
15.2,
14.0,
11.4,
14.2,
15.2,
12.6,
10.2,
13.9,
13.7,
13.6,
13.2,
15.4,
12.9,
11.9,
13.3,
13.3,
10.5,
10.0,
11.0,
 8.3,
10.7,
11.2,
11.7,
14.2,
14.5,
16.0,
16.7,
14.4,
17.0,
14.6,
11.6,
12.8,
14.0,
17.1,
15.4,
15.5,
15.1,
16.9,
14.2,
15.9,
18.2,
19.5,
19.5,
19.8,
15.6,
14.1,
17.0,
14.3,
13.1,
13.7,
18.2,
19.8,
22.3,
17.8,
15.0,
22.6,
23.7,
15.8,
15.0,
23.5,
25.7,
26.5,
15.1,
13.9,
20.5,
21.4,
14.9,
15.0,
18.9,
11.7,
15.5,
17.7,
11.0,
14.9,
13.1,
13.7,
15.4,
15.6,
23.9,
23.7,
24.3,
15.9,
13.5,
15.3,
19.3,
20.5,
22.5,
23.2,
16.3,
14.8,
13.7,
18.4,
12.3,
13.3,
16.2,
25.6,
24.1,
13.8,
15.9,
21.2,
21.7,
15.6,
13.5,
15.0,
21.2,
25.4,
19.0,
15.0,
16.4,
15.6,
13.7,
22.0,
17.4,
15.1,
14.6,
16.9,
15.9,
21.3,
29.7,
33.0,
22.7,
21.6,
30.3,
19.0,
14.6,
15.9,
20.4,
29.3,
33.7,
35.2,
38.1,
24.5,
26.3,
25.0,
17.9,
18.1,
23.3,
31.2,
32.8,
28.0,
19.7,
22.1,
16.3,
20.1,
21.7,
19.6,
30.8,
36.8,
38.1,
17.6,
21.2,
17.2,
20.7,
26.1,
34.5,
18.6,
20.1,
22.4,
19.1,
19.2,
28.0,
17.9,
18.1,
16.0,
18.5,
20.6,
33.0,
35.2,
24.0,
26.0,
28.0,
23.0,
19.0,
19.1,
18.0,
19.4,
32.5,
32.6,
18.1,
19.7,
28.0,
28.0,
23.8,
31.4,
22.0,
35.8,
23.0,
18.9,
25.4,
28.0,
19.2,
21.5,
28.8,
37.3,
24.6,
21.3,
17.9,
17.5,
18.7,
18.1,
19.7,
22.1,
19.6,
18.0,
19.9,
28.5,
23.0,
37.0,
19.0,
19.4,
35.0,
27.7,
23.9,
25.6,
27.7,
24.3,
38.6,
41.2,
22.0,
22.5,
22.3,
25.5,
36.6,
35.7,
43.2,
28.0,
25.5,
21.6,
21.8,
23.3,
34.3,
31.2,
43.0,
20.2,
20.3,
22.2,
24.0,
34.4,
32.9,
21.6,
26.5,
33.2,
38.6,
24.4,
28.3,
35.2,
28.7,
35.6,
37.2,
25.5,
31.5,
30.2,
29.0,
21.4,
28.5,
32.1,
23.5,
20.0,
21.0,
20.0,
21.8,
24.3,
30.9,
21.6,
22.2,
20.2,
20.5,
17.6,
18.6,
17.7,
18.0,
18.6,
18.6,
25.9,
19.8,
18.7,
17.9,
17.3,
18.1,
14.6,
14.1,
15.7,
16.0,
21.6,
21.4,
23.8,
21.7,
16.6,
16.7,
18.1,
14.5,
14.7,
16.4,
16.5,
22.7,
23.8,
24.6,
23.6,
19.8,
19.8,
18.0,
17.6,
19.0,
17.5,
17.0,
19.9,
18.5,
18.7,
17.8,
17.0,
17.6,
18.7,
17.0,
18.8,
17.5,
19.5,
16.6,
19.1,
21.2,
20.2,
17.9,
14.3,
16.0,
17.7,
18.6,
19.1,
13.7,
17.5,
16.1,
15.2,
17.3,
14.9,
18.4,
17.2,
12.2,
13.9,
14.0,
15.3,
15.0,
15.1,
16.6,
16.5,
16.1,
13.5,
13.0,
13.6,
11.8,
14.5,
14.0,
14.1,
13.5,
12.1,
11.9,
11.9,
14.2,
14.0,
17.9,
19.1,
15.1,
13.8,
13.7,
10.0,
10.3,
10.4,
12.0,
 8.5,
14.4,
13.1,
14.0,
11.8,
13.9,
12.9,
11.0,
11.8,
10.7,
11.2,
10.3,
12.2,
12.4,
14.7,
15.1,
15.0,
14.0,
15.2,
14.2,
 8.7,
11.0,
14.2,
15.2,
12.2,
13.0,
14.7,
17.2,
13.7,
14.8,
13.8,
13.7,
13.1,
12.7,
12.3,
12.4,
13.0,
13.5,
13.5,
14.7,
13.4,
15.9,
16.0,
15.3,
15.5,
18.2,
18.6,
18.5,
19.2,
14.2,
12.8,
13.1,
15.4,
17.3,
14.5,
19.5,
20.2,
16.3,
13.0,
13.3,
13.3,
19.0,
16.8,
19.2,
18.5,
19.0,
17.4,
15.3,
15.8,
18.7,
17.8,
16.5,
15.3,
13.2,
12.0,
14.0,
 9.5,
13.0,
17.6,
19.6,
17.2,
17.3,
17.0,
16.3,
17.3,
20.3,
16.9,
13.5,
13.3,
20.7,
19.8,
20.8,
19.8,
19.5,
23.4,
14.2,
14.2,
16.6,
17.0,
15.6,
14.8,
17.2,
20.2,
16.7,
18.2,
18.1,
22.5,
23.4,
15.3,
13.7,
15.6,
18.9,
15.1,
16.6,
17.7,
23.0,
16.8,
21.3,
17.9,
23.6,
25.3,
14.5,
16.9,
16.3,
17.7,
18.0,
21.7,
22.3,
15.5,
16.7,
24.3,
23.5,
27.7,
18.0,
15.6,
19.0,
19.5,
20.1,
31.3,
15.6,
12.8,
13.8,
15.8,
16.4,
17.6,
28.2,
25.5,
22.7,
28.0,
17.0,
22.6,
24.5,
25.6,
27.5,
18.5,
18.2,
18.8,
17.8,
18.9,
24.0,
20.9,
16.8,
18.5,
20.6,
24.9,
28.1,
25.7,
19.2,
32.7,
21.3,
20.4,
20.5,
22.8,
35.3,
38.7,
21.4,
23.3,
22.0,
31.7,
23.4,
19.1,
19.5,
30.0,
32.4,
33.6,
30.0,
27.7,
28.1,
23.7,
20.6,
32.3,
31.2,
21.5,
23.0,
21.9,
23.0,
21.6,
27.2,
29.2,
32.0,
22.5,
23.9,
19.7,
19.5,
22.0,
22.1,
19.7,
19.4,
30.5,
28.5,
20.2,
19.0,
20.2,
22.6,
28.4,
18.6,
20.3,
19.0,
26.2,
30.0,
24.2,
23.4,
34.7,
20.4,
20.7,
20.0,
19.5,
31.6,
33.7,
23.5,
24.6,
33.9,
22.4,
24.3,
29.5,
31.7,
32.9,
20.5,
28.5,
27.3,
19.5,
21.4,
33.2,
35.0,
18.1,
17.2,
18.1,
19.5,
21.5,
29.2,
33.8,
20.8,
17.5,
21.0,
27.4,
21.2,
27.1,
22.8,
18.7,
19.0,
19.7,
28.7,
25.5,
18.4,
18.5,
23.6,
26.9,
28.0,
24.7,
21.5,
17.5,
16.1,
18.7,
24.5,
27.6,
17.4,
18.2,
19.7,
18.5,
17.7,
20.7,
21.2,
17.2,
21.5,
22.0,
23.2,
25.4,
24.6,
24.8,
25.0,
25.0,
18.2,
21.5,
16.2,
17.3,
15.5,
16.4,
19.6,
18.5,
16.5,
16.0,
17.7,
19.2,
16.8,
16.5,
22.5,
22.7,
23.5,
19.0,
15.5,
13.5,
14.0,
14.7,
15.6,
17.0,
18.0,
19.6,
17.1,
16.7,
16.9,
18.2,
19.4,
22.0,
21.7,
22.0,
22.2,
20.0,
16.5,
15.6,
15.0,
16.6,
18.7,
18.7,
18.1,
15.6,
20.1,
20.3,
15.2,
17.1,
16.3,
18.3,
18.3,
19.0,
20.0,
15.7,
14.9,
13.1,
13.6,
13.8,
15.0,
16.9,
18.3,
16.4,
14.0,
12.5,
12.8,
12.2,
14.2,
14.2,
15.5,
15.1,
14.4,
12.9,
10.8,
11.7,
13.3,
12.4,
13.4,
10.6,
 7.0,
12.6,
13.2,
12.1,
10.3,
15.7,
11.7,
15.1,
15.8,
15.0,
11.6,
11.4,
10.0,
14.7,
13.6,
13.2,
11.0,
13.0,
12.0,
10.6,
13.3,
14.5,
13.5,
15.9,
12.8,
11.7,
13.0,
14.0,
16.0,
17.0,
16.3,
17.6,
19.5,
14.0,
17.5,
19.2,
18.5,
15.1,
15.4,
13.3,
13.1,
12.8,
12.0,
13.3,
12.9,
15.4,
13.4,
15.1,
14.7,
14.9,
16.8,
15.8,
17.0,
14.1,
16.5,
12.4,
12.7,
14.6,
17.6,
19.6,
17.3,
17.9,
17.8,
13.0,
13.2,
17.1,
19.6,
16.3,
16.9,
22.2,
12.0,
14.2,
16.8,
16.9,
22.0,
16.4,
14.2,
11.8,
15.2,
12.6,
13.2,
14.4,
15.0,
16.5,
13.3,
14.5,
16.7,
13.8,
12.4,
13.7,
19.9,
24.0,
18.7,
18.9,
20.2,
19.9,
24.0,
27.3,
24.2,
18.0,
21.3,
26.6,
18.5,
18.2,
21.0,
12.0,
12.2,
14.1,
16.5,
15.5,
15.0,
20.8,
27.3,
28.4,
18.9,
18.2,
25.5,
15.9,
15.5,
21.4,
23.2,
26.8,
23.9,
19.1,
15.2,
14.9,
21.3,
25.4,
28.7,
32.3,
25.7,
19.0,
19.4,
15.0,
16.5,
16.3,
28.9,
27.4,
32.9,
27.0,
23.7,
22.8,
16.5,
14.0,
18.0,
28.2,
32.8,
28.0,
22.2,
21.8,
18.7,
25.5,
27.6,
16.5,
15.9,
16.8,
17.9,
23.1,
22.8,
24.2,
27.7,
21.3,
23.5,
17.9,
24.2,
20.0,
23.7,
27.0,
24.6,
25.0,
20.0,
22.7,
22.6,
29.2,
27.8,
26.5,
18.9,
23.2,
24.2,
28.1,
30.3,
25.6,
20.7,
19.6,
21.7,
28.0,
21.3,
21.4,
21.4,
22.6,
21.7,
21.8,
19.8,
30.4,
36.0,
42.2,
21.1,
20.0,
18.4,
19.1,
19.3,
18.8,
22.8,
20.0,
21.9,
20.1,
23.2,
34.5,
22.1,
21.6,
30.0,
34.0,
22.2,
19.6,
25.4,
37.1,
30.2,
29.1,
21.1,
19.1,
22.2,
24.4,
20.3,
28.0,
32.2,
23.4,
21.4,
33.5,
18.6,
19.2,
21.1,
29.5,
25.7,
32.4,
28.5,
20.6,
25.2,
20.8,
17.5,
20.1,
22.4,
24.0,
21.0,
26.8,
17.7,
19.2,
19.1,
26.4,
29.7,
30.2,
33.0,
33.3,
33.0,
36.1,
34.0,
34.7,
20.4,
19.4,
21.3,
26.8,
28.5,
25.6,
28.6,
32.5,
18.7,
23.2,
23.7,
27.2,
23.5,
19.0,
22.6,
30.1,
23.3,
19.7,
22.3,
21.6,
23.5,
22.6,
24.0,
22.9,
22.4,
28.8,
30.0,
32.4,
33.8,
26.8,
18.6,
17.0,
15.3,
15.3,
16.8,
16.0,
16.6,
17.2,
21.5,
19.7,
19.8,
21.2,
23.7,
23.9,
25.6,
24.7,
20.2,
23.5,
22.2,
24.5,
25.5,
18.8,
18.0,
14.9,
18.3,
19.2,
18.9,
19.2,
21.5,
18.0,
13.1,
14.9,
15.2,
13.5,
15.2,
14.2,
14.6,
16.0,
15.1,
15.6,
17.5,
18.8,
20.4,
20.3,
19.1,
14.9,
14.6,
13.7,
13.0,
13.4,
12.7,
14.2,
13.7,
12.7,
14.1,
12.8,
17.1,
14.0,
14.5,
15.7,
14.1,
13.7,
13.3,
13.4,
11.9,
13.6,
13.3,
12.2,
10.8,
13.0,
14.1,
14.4,
13.3,
15.7,
15.6,
19.3,
16.3,
19.4,
17.7,
16.9,
14.4,
14.3,
13.0,
12.3,
12.8,
12.7,
10.8,
14.6,
13.3,
12.7,
12.9,
15.7,
11.4,
12.0,
12.2,
11.8,
13.1,
15.5,
11.3,
12.0,
12.8,
11.6,
12.4,
12.6,
17.4,
13.4,
11.3,
12.1,
12.7,
12.5,
13.2,
17.1,
15.9,
15.0,
13.2,
12.6,
11.8,
12.0,
14.0,
13.7,
16.1,
19.8,
15.7,
13.2,
13.6,
13.5,
11.7,
11.4,
15.4,
17.4,
15.3,
16.7,
16.5,
15.3,
18.8,
15.3,
15.6,
18.7,
17.4,
12.6,
12.9,
13.5,
13.6,
13.7,
15.1,
14.3,
21.3,
21.5,
23.2,
15.3,
19.1,
15.3,
14.8,
15.6,
14.6,
14.7,
13.7,
13.6,
13.5,
14.6,
15.6,
20.7,
25.1,
19.7,
12.5,
14.1,
13.3,
14.7,
20.5,
21.8,
16.2,
25.8,
26.6,
19.4,
21.1,
20.2,
20.9,
18.1,
26.3,
19.2,
16.1,
17.9,
21.1,
25.7,
23.7,
19.7,
16.8,
14.3,
14.2,
20.5,
22.2,
15.4,
17.2,
18.0,
20.5,
23.8,
24.1,
25.8,
19.4,
18.3,
22.3,
17.4,
20.2,
27.5,
23.9,
22.8,
22.7,
21.5,
21.9,
30.3,
17.7,
26.8,
28.3,
24.2,
18.2,
21.8,
17.8,
16.1,
18.7,
17.1,
15.7,
20.8,
26.2,
26.2,
21.3,
20.5,
20.7,
19.9,
19.1,
21.7,
25.6,
23.4,
26.6,
23.5,
25.0,
25.8,
28.1,
27.8,
23.2,
21.0,
21.1,
18.3,
19.6,
22.2,
30.6,
23.1,
18.4,
22.4,
30.9,
25.2,
21.4,
20.4,
18.7,
22.0,
26.6,
20.4,
18.5,
22.5,
32.7,
27.8,
19.0,