ca_daily.dat

Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices: A Statistical Approach" by Rafa&#322 Weron, p

% COMPILED BY   : Rafal Weron
% DATE          : 2006.09.23 
% FILENAME      : CA_daily.dat 
%
% FORMAT        : DATE (in YYYYMMDD format) 
%                 PRICE: average daily price in CalPX for unconstrained system 
%                   SOURCE: UCEI database (PPXSYS, column U)
%                 ACT LOAD: average daily actual system-wide load 
%                   SOURCE: CAISO or UCEI database (QASYS, column AE)
%                     [CAISO definition: Instantaneous Demand, in MW, by IOU 
%                     (including Municipal and Direct Access loads within the IOU 
%                     service area) as measured at the top of each hour by the EMS]
%                 FORECASTED LOAD: average daily day-ahead forecasted hourly load 
%                   SOURCE: CAISO OASIS
%                     [CAISO definition: Forecasted hourly Demand, in MW, by IOU 
%                     (including Municipal and Direct Access loads within the IOU 
%                     service area) as used in the Day-Ahead Market]
%                 MAX AIR TEMP: Maximum air temperature, in Celsius, from Pomona, CA
%                   SOURCE: UC Integrated Pest Management Program
%																								
19980401	18.832550	24264.208	23118.292	12.2																										
19980402	22.563304	24162.458	24249.458	17.2																										
19980403	23.567692	24070.333	22691.792	16.7																										
19980404	20.480242	21390.833	20529.000	13.3																										
19980405	19.904458	20137.104	19140.208	17.8
19980406	23.224750	23506.875	22297.083	17.2
19980407	21.866500	23749.458	23758.958	17.8
19980408	22.172438	23739.333	23997.375	20
19980409	22.495946	23649.042	24553.750	22.2
19980410	22.808687	22682.000	23558.083	22.8
19980411	17.542533	21007.333	21723.917	16.1
19980412	22.574592	19507.250	19747.458	17.8
19980413	24.387688	23542.792	22942.458	13.9
19980414	24.074075	23712.625	23240.542	15.6
19980415	24.195475	23586.792	23636.583	17.2
19980416	24.284842	23776.458	24601.833	20
19980417	26.684646	23401.708	23565.375	24.4
19980418	25.464029	21033.667	21940.583	26.7
19980419	24.348342	20373.333	19756.583	28.3
19980420	27.969312	24470.750	23399.000	31.7
19980421	25.760446	25485.792	26225.667	33.9
19980422	24.087825	25112.167	25931.458	25
19980423	23.637942	24007.083	24541.875	20
19980424	22.895737	23558.375	24315.917	19.4
19980425	12.672633	21066.542	22439.083	20.6
19980426	15.581900	20415.708	20921.417	25.6
19980427	25.862650	24796.667	25169.417	29.4
19980428	24.856654	25270.500	25555.833	30.6
19980429	22.271267	25611.417	25622.833	28.9
19980430	21.729992	24853.750	26102.292	23.3
19980501	18.735904	24344.708	24373.458	22.2
19980502	9.803104	21918.333	22282.042	23.3
19980503	5.540329	20927.458	20554.292	22.8
19980504	15.976288	24424.417	24636.375	21.1
19980505	17.769200	24270.542	25298.292	18.9
19980506	14.762800	24243.875	24334.417	21.7
19980507	15.086467	24180.833	24352.208	20.6
19980508	16.012067	23685.000	23779.458	17.8
19980509	11.563842	21064.292	21817.583	20
19980510	7.999317	19924.667	19615.250	20.6
19980511	14.144738	23755.583	23341.750	18.3
19980512	12.876067	24216.458	22971.958	15
19980513	12.915042	23930.333	24355.167	14.4
19980514	12.365483	23827.042	24389.375	18.3
19980515	9.904604	23576.542	23944.708	22.8
19980516	4.285742	21108.000	21364.000	21.7
19980517	4.053058	20559.792	20280.042	25
19980518	13.758854	24161.625	21948.250	27.2
19980519	14.157600	23246.792	25226.042	25.6
19980520	23.487512	24235.542	24322.833	22.2
19980521	18.203396	24384.750	24139.958	21.7
19980522	16.201979	24155.333	24234.000	22.8
19980523	8.015117	21303.625	20633.792	21.1
19980524	6.365479	20237.667	19578.125	22.2
19980525	3.164954	20672.583	20195.083	18.9
19980526	11.698621	23718.333	24275.250	19.4
19980527	11.579621	24235.542	24091.333	22.8
19980528	11.362871	24636.958	24141.417	24.4
19980529	8.532542	24056.625	24118.042	21.7
19980530	6.657925	21692.708	21952.208	23.9
19980531	4.090021	21063.667	21315.208	25.6
19980601	14.235971	24673.125	24880.958	27.2
19980602	13.356358	24516.458	25343.833	24.4
19980603	10.297896	24321.333	24399.333	21.7
19980604	8.037304	24528.917	24803.500	21.1
19980605	6.901025	24716.583	24017.542	25.6
19980606	5.979229	22063.833	21901.458	21.1
19980607	5.055183	20752.417	20519.292	17.8
19980608	8.351113	24514.958	24611.833	21.1
19980609	6.677113	24937.417	23926.000	22.8
19980610	6.403392	24737.167	24574.417	20.6
19980611	6.997008	24495.125	25176.833	20.6
19980612	7.180475	24141.208	24333.292	20
19980613	3.812154	22059.792	22407.833	25.6
19980614	9.816729	22167.833	21716.792	28.3
19980615	13.701113	27314.792	26714.625	27.2
19980616	18.027658	26178.417	26698.875	17.8
19980617	20.074000	26687.500	24709.875	27.2
19980618	19.019517	27167.917	28288.250	29.4
19980619	16.667571	26461.167	26306.417	28.9
19980620	14.143275	23187.958	23830.792	26.7
19980621	11.611892	21771.750	22377.750	28.9
19980622	15.537971	25760.750	26199.583	27.8
19980623	15.017442	25818.750	26794.500	26.7
19980624	14.600063	25946.000	26400.542	27.2
19980625	15.537404	26249.250	25159.000	27.8
19980626	14.523475	26425.958	25939.208	27.8
19980627	12.144567	25094.583	24547.167	30
19980628	11.024825	23857.167	23626.792	31.1
19980629	15.322513	27546.417	27916.083	31.1
19980630	22.678304	27477.750	27295.417	30
19980701	20.737771	27316.042	27123.292	30
19980702	19.897150	26325.292	27448.708	27.2
19980703	7.858392	24120.167	23273.250	24.4
19980704	7.098500	22663.167	22415.750	27.2
19980705	11.526842	23330.292	23979.292	30
19980706	22.399100	29123.083	28553.667	33.9
19980707	25.989829	30877.750	29261.417	31.7
19980708	35.384121	30152.708	30583.792	31.7
19980709	29.991738	29375.917	29903.750	32.2
19980710	32.078246	28645.833	28840.542	33.3
19980711	37.551967	26272.708	25952.292	32.8
19980712	35.016454	25940.542	26075.917	33.9
19980713	40.328308	29651.500	31020.833	31.1
19980714	35.325575	30355.750	30006.958	32.2
19980715	32.667717	32152.167	32139.667	35
19980716	38.336146	33898.125	33143.292	39.4
19980717	44.939808	33726.958	33422.708	37.2
19980718	40.506550	31273.917	30275.792	36.1
19980719	29.688896	29157.042	30583.375	31.1
19980720	54.191175	31312.333	32532.333	31.7
19980721	41.099800	30415.083	31974.375	31.1
19980722	30.321271	29439.208	31642.625	28.9
19980723	23.663658	29359.167	29950.583	28.9
19980724	25.879671	28908.250	28997.208	29.4
19980725	24.645129	28145.292	27051.667	33.9
19980726	27.316450	28649.333	28334.083	37.8
19980727	49.955554	32793.958	33352.625	37.8
19980728	61.752817	32571.458	32778.083	37.2
19980729	48.863308	30297.125	32242.750	30.6
19980730	37.467613	28184.875	30030.292	29.4
19980731	32.409025	28336.500	29223.708	30.6
19980801	28.117875	27721.833	27657.583	33.9
19980802	28.859171	28779.125	28755.542	36.7
19980803	72.583604	34076.292	34244.833	37.2
19980804	46.097375	35075.500	35868.417	36.1
19980805	56.758658	34416.292	34366.417	33.9
19980806	57.351842	33037.667	33643.500	32.2
19980807	34.491813	31120.833	31264.583	33.9
19980808	27.165667	28123.583	28014.000	37.2
19980809	21.506392	27635.458	28150.208	37.2
19980810	40.258900	32515.042	32567.208	31.7
19980811	61.212150	33391.083	32655.833	35.6
19980812	49.937892	34871.000	33591.458	36.7
19980813	63.585621	34730.542	35461.333	36.1
19980814	64.488283	33466.792	33659.333	36.1
19980815	32.419154	29321.333	29305.000	30.6
19980816	28.168763	26734.917	26448.458	31.1
19980817	30.582967	28828.583	31302.292	28.9
19980818	29.742454	28279.167	29199.333	30.6
19980819	26.341271	28113.333	28549.292	30.6
19980820	25.991033	27990.208	28859.583	32.8
19980821	27.745700	29129.000	29633.417	36.1
19980822	26.193521	27845.250	28378.083	37.2
19980823	25.458904	27663.542	27330.875	38.3
19980824	32.202875	31235.583	30556.667	32.8
19980825	39.779937	29801.917	31898.417	31.7
19980826	40.361521	29645.167	31235.583	32.8
19980827	31.791604	30649.375	31392.083	33.9
19980828	39.070171	31596.042	31910.792	36.1
19980829	34.030233	30885.792	29679.625	40
19980830	34.599938	30633.708	30997.167	40
19980831	68.390083	34106.000	34312.792	38.9
19980901	75.279954	34927.792	34749.917	40
19980902	88.202942	34434.333	35544.333	37.2
19980903	85.935896	34895.042	34950.958	37.8
19980904	62.101429	31490.708	32836.000	26.1
19980905	41.790550	27803.083	29244.917	26.1
19980906	26.710892	27601.792	26568.042	29.4
19980907	25.584608	28506.625	28590.750	29.4
19980908	36.702979	30592.375	31005.083	30
19980909	29.602375	28196.208	29597.417	28.3
19980910	30.222350	28076.125	29475.083	29.4
19980911	27.581358	28375.833	28381.542	29.4
19980912	25.453808	26494.250	26269.417	30.6
19980913	26.461208	25952.792	26708.125	30
19980914	29.176933	29658.250	30265.292	30
19980915	27.538529	28986.458	28907.083	30
19980916	27.045388	28895.792	27923.833	30.6
19980917	24.760558	28276.042	27881.417	30.6
19980918	24.329258	27226.875	27735.375	29.4
19980919	25.350383	24450.250	24767.917	27.2
19980920	27.680129	22729.583	23581.042	22.2
19980921	28.866658	26026.583	27161.083	21.1
19980922	27.125771	26244.042	25856.667	23.3
19980923	25.596975	25842.375	26252.042	23.9
19980924	25.749883	25562.000	26576.000	22.8
19980925	24.374629	25197.000	26800.167	22.2
19980926	24.265429	22297.917	23228.833	21.7
19980927	23.056783	21411.750	21501.000	22.2
19980928	25.609292	24970.583	25585.250	24.4
19980929	24.624458	25214.417	26402.833	22.8
19980930	23.463004	25439.333	26398.000	23.9
19981001	24.017138	25530.958	26659.000	25
19981002	21.756829	24896.417	25004.375	18.9
19981003	21.588483	22048.750	22460.458	23.3
19981004	18.300258	21274.833	21392.625	24.4
19981005	22.661646	25319.917	24840.583	30.6
19981006	23.860863	25968.500	25984.000	33.3
19981007	24.321358	25799.083	25718.958	30.6
19981008	25.265608	25700.792	25250.583	28.9
19981009	25.551825	24981.833	25220.458	27.2
19981010	22.797467	22202.208	22925.042	25
19981011	21.310900	21422.458	21765.917	27.2
19981012	22.962871	24944.917	25084.833	27.8
19981013	22.578950	25340.083	25486.000	25
19981014	27.445467	24977.250	24918.958	21.1
19981015	28.700867	24909.917	24935.042	21.1
19981016	28.121121	24718.125	25346.583	23.9
19981017	25.488117	22286.667	22222.167	27.2
19981018	26.596979	21334.667	21484.167	28.9
19981019	30.316600	25081.750	24951.208	28.3
19981020	36.952508	25188.417	25557.500	28.9
19981021	35.975075	25612.167	25674.708	25.6
19981022	36.171362	25657.458	25413.500	30
19981023	31.810842	25293.375	25638.583	31.1
19981024	26.740379	22805.375	22020.750	27.2
19981025	25.332037	21350.375	21275.542	22.2
19981026	32.500546	24679.583	24064.708	22.2
19981027	30.044158	24851.708	25092.208	22.2
19981028	29.098617	24965.917	24877.875	24.4
19981029	31.580542	24911.583	24791.708	20.6
19981030	26.073179	24704.917	23997.500	21.7
19981031	20.215621	22084.333	22418.458	23.3
19981101	22.024312	21205.625	21198.000	22.8
19981102	28.928104	24740.542	24676.083	21.1
19981103	29.495850	24917.583	24601.875	25.6
19981104	28.572433	25094.500	24856.875	25.6
19981105	26.169221	24864.458	25089.625	20.6
19981106	27.967096	24489.333	24561.708	20
19981107	24.609667	21905.458	22044.167	19.4
19981108	25.918083	21193.500	21364.500	17.2
19981109	28.050000	24276.542	24426.292	18.9
19981110	26.422954	24859.708	24479.583	20.6
19981111	28.947213	24625.083	23969.458	16.1
19981112	30.033383	24864.042	24854.042	22.2
19981113	31.451792	24428.375	25124.000	25
19981114	29.595908	22118.500	21916.750	26.1
19981115	24.721142	21240.958	21371.417	23.3
19981116	28.438812	24516.542	24725.458	23.3
19981117	29.001642	24492.917	25189.167	18.9
19981118	28.816404	24815.375	24821.333	20
19981119	28.032512	25012.208	24831.083	23.9
19981120	27.247079	24709.125	24520.583	25
19981121	24.684496	22252.875	22146.125	25.6
19981122	24.386858	21264.708	21270.917	23.9
19981123	26.261900	24774.125	24527.917	21.7
19981124	28.912496	24837.250	24829.083	20
19981125	25.615421	24609.583	24249.792	23.3
19981126	10.327329	20377.333	20202.708	27.2
19981127	16.472658	21426.500	21308.208	18.3
19981128	15.205450	21237.208	21589.375	14.4
19981129	18.585817	21301.333	21380.958	16.7
19981130	27.409087	24491.917	24341.667	21.1
19981201	26.724213	24975.917	24686.667	15.6
19981202	26.728000	25044.667	25025.792	16.1
19981203	23.250575	25136.875	25153.333	15
19981204	23.195937	25224.667	24781.458	15.6
19981205	23.753913	23316.375	21854.750	15.6
19981206	21.824658	22502.125	23072.375	12.8
19981207	26.446079	26400.667	25509.417	16.7
19981208	25.993304	25890.542	26304.625	18.9
19981209	26.027442	26001.958	26153.625	20
19981210	26.287217	25980.125	25913.708	20.6
19981211	24.818621	25765.375	25921.500	21.7
19981212	21.544946	23322.792	22847.667	27.8
19981213	22.521075	22295.750	22813.208	27.2
19981214	23.416475	25289.917	25778.208	17.8
19981215	21.849529	25630.250	25936.000	27.2
19981216	24.101229	25634.833	25541.125	28.9
19981217	24.990933	25480.167	25599.458	28.9
19981218	27.163308	25072.250	25617.375	16.7
19981219	25.133821	23146.750	23392.833	15
19981220	31.766446	23063.500	22703.250	13.3
19981221	47.195217	27038.875	26484.500	11.1
19981222	91.336250	27306.000	27114.083	13.9
19981223	66.501567	27085.458	27245.000	14.4
19981224	32.687321	24699.542	23801.500	20.6
19981225	29.212442	21575.750	21857.417	23.9
19981226	21.422587	22084.583	22396.250	21.7
19981227	23.933671	21846.625	21491.042	23.9
19981228	26.514742	24469.917	24543.667	25.6
19981229	26.786133	24658.917	24741.125	26.7
19981230	21.995842	24550.000	24724.792	28.3
19981231	18.036704	22982.417	23605.417	14.4
19990101	12.803196	20701.167	20520.000	22.8
19990102	16.331083	21619.833	21789.333	26.1
19990103	18.466325	21502.250	21544.208	24.4
19990104	25.298258	24992.625	24883.167	26.1
19990105	24.785287	25574.042	25266.708	27.2
19990106	25.589471	25611.958	25097.250	25
19990107	25.833887	25837.542	25313.958	18.3
19990108	25.432513	25293.375	24925.292	22.2
19990109	23.267988	23005.250	22240.750	24.4
19990110	22.113892	22241.792	22465.958	26.1