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<HTML> <HEAD> <!--SCRIPT LANGUAGE="JavaScript" SRC="http://a1835.g.akamai.net/f/1835/276/3h/www.netlibrary.com/include/js/dictionary_library.js"></SCRIPT> <SCRIPT LANGUAGE="JavaScript"> if (!opener){document.onkeyup=parent.turnBookPage;} </SCRIPT!--> <META HTTP-EQUIV="Cache-Control" CONTENT="no-cache"> <META HTTP-EQUIV="Pragma" CONTENT="no-cache"> <META HTTP-EQUIV="Expires" CONTENT="-1"><META http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=windows-1252"><SCRIPT>var PrevPage="Page_291";var NextPage="Page_293";var CurPage="Page_292";var PageOrder="300";</SCRIPT> <TITLE>Document</TITLE> </HEAD> <BODY BGCOLOR="#FFFFFF"><CENTER><TABLE BORDER=0 WIDTH=100% CELLPADDING=0><TR><TD ALIGN=CENTER> <TABLE BORDER=0 CELLPADDING=2 CELLSPACING=0 WIDTH=100%> <TR> <TD ALIGN=LEFT><A HREF='Page_291.html'>Previous</A></TD> <TD ALIGN=RIGHT><A HREF='Page_293.html'>Next</A></TD> </TR> </TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD ALIGN=LEFT><P><A NAME='JUMPDEST_Page_292'/><A NAME='{9B0}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0 WIDTH='100%'><TR><TD ALIGN=RIGHT><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=2 COLOR=#FF0000>Page 292</FONT></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{9B1}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0 WIDTH='100%'><TR> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD> <TD ALIGN=CENTER><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3><IMG SRC='0292-01.JPG' BORDER=0 ALT='0292-01.jpg' WIDTH=443 HEIGHT=281></FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{9B2}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0 WIDTH='100%'><TR> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD> <TD ALIGN=CENTER><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=2>Figure 8-12<BR> We select the field in the data we want to predict—the total number of sales.</FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{9B3}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD> <TD><FONT FACE='Courier New, Courier, Mono New, Courier, Mono' SIZE=2><I>If</I> <B>Number of Children </B><I>is</I> <B><U>2.00</U></B> <BR><I>Then</I> <B>Predicted # of Sales</B> <I>is</I> <B>more than 1.00</B> <BR> <I>Rule's probability: </I><B>1.000</B><I> <BR> The rule exists in </I><B>391</B><I> records. <BR> Significance Level: Error probability </I>< 0.01 </FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{9B4}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD> <TD><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3>This rule, or condition, is indicating that visitors to this website who have more than two children have a very high probability of making more than one purchase. This is a very important pattern since it occurs in nearly one-third of the sample data set: 0.32583. It may indicate the fact that a family will likely buy a PC for the kids along with a second purchase such as a printer for those school reports.</FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{9B5}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD> <TD><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3>On the other hand another rule was generated, which found that customer income level coupled with the number of children indicated the propensity to make no more than one purchase:</FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{9B6}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD> <TD><FONT FACE='Courier New, Courier, Mono New, Courier, Mono' SIZE=2><I>If</I> <B>Customer Income</B>_ <I>is</I> <B><U>47.807.00 ± 205.00<BR></U></B><I>and</I> <B>Number of Children</B> <I>is</I> <B><U>1.00 <BR></U></B><I>Then</I> <B>Predicted # of Sales </B><I>is <B>not</B></I><B> more than 1.00</B> <BR><I> Rule's probability: </I><B>1.000</B><I> <BR> The rule exists in </I><B>109</B><I> records. <BR> Significance Level: Error probability</I> < 0.1 </FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{9B7}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD> <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD> <TD><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3>Still another rule found a relationship between the number of children and the search engine used to find this website: it found it limited the number of sales to no more than one:</FONT><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3 COLOR=#FFFF00><!-- break --></FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR> <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{9B8}'/></FORM></P></TD></TR></TABLE><P><FONT SIZE=0 COLOR=WHITE></CENTER><A NAME="bottom"> </A><!-- netLibrary.com Copyright Notice --> </BODY></HTML>
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