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<HTML>  <HEAD>    <!--SCRIPT LANGUAGE="JavaScript" SRC="http://a1835.g.akamai.net/f/1835/276/3h/www.netlibrary.com/include/js/dictionary_library.js"></SCRIPT>    <SCRIPT LANGUAGE="JavaScript">      if (!opener){document.onkeyup=parent.turnBookPage;}    </SCRIPT!-->    <META HTTP-EQUIV="Cache-Control" CONTENT="no-cache">    <META HTTP-EQUIV="Pragma" CONTENT="no-cache">    <META HTTP-EQUIV="Expires" CONTENT="-1"><META http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=windows-1252"><SCRIPT>var PrevPage="Page_327";var NextPage="Page_329";var CurPage="Page_328";var PageOrder="335";</SCRIPT>  <TITLE>Document</TITLE>  </HEAD>  <BODY BGCOLOR="#FFFFFF"><CENTER><TABLE BORDER=0 WIDTH=100% CELLPADDING=0><TR><TD ALIGN=CENTER>  <TABLE BORDER=0 CELLPADDING=2 CELLSPACING=0 WIDTH=100%>  <TR>  <TD ALIGN=LEFT><A HREF='Page_327.html'>Previous</A></TD>  <TD ALIGN=RIGHT><A HREF='Page_329.html'>Next</A></TD>  </TR>  </TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD ALIGN=LEFT><P><A NAME='JUMPDEST_Page_328'/><A NAME='{AD0}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0 WIDTH='100%'><TR><TD ALIGN=RIGHT><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=2 COLOR=#FF0000>Page 328</FONT></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{AD1}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0 WIDTH='100%'><TR>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD>  <TD ALIGN=CENTER><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3><IMG SRC='0328-01.JPG' BORDER=0 ALT='0328-01.jpg' WIDTH=285 HEIGHT=291></FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{AD2}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0 WIDTH='100%'><TR>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD>  <TD ALIGN=CENTER><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=2>Figure&nbsp;9-24&nbsp;<BR>The&nbsp;total&nbsp;amount&nbsp;of&nbsp;sales&nbsp;a&nbsp;visitor&nbsp;is&nbsp;likely<BR>&nbsp;to&nbsp;make&nbsp;is&nbsp;impacted&nbsp;by&nbsp;multiple&nbsp;factors.</FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{AD3}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD>  <TD><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3>In order to construct a model with a back-propagation neural network you will need to &quot;train&quot; it with as many negative and positive samples as you can get. It is interesting to note that the factors affecting the outcome you are mining can vary in terms of the input variables values and their range. Ensure that your training data set contains examples of all conditions likely to occur once you deploy your model. One robust feature of neural networks is that they are able to perform even with spotty or missing values, so that, for example, if you don't have an input value, such as Age_Group, the model will still try to predict your desired output of TotalSales.</FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{AD4}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD>  <TD><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3>It is important to construct small models rather than complex ones. For example, you may want to construct a separate model for every product on your website. This way you have the ability to generate propensity-to-purchase scores for every product or service you are selling, rather than a very general behavioral model. Of course for some retailers this will be impossible, such as a bookseller; however, you may want to construct models along product lines, such as a nonfiction model and a fiction model.</FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{AD5}'/><TABLE BORDER=0 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=0><TR>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=12></TD>  <TD ROWSPAN=5></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR><TD></TD>  <TD><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3>Models can be constructed to predict various factors including, for example, one that tries to predict the total number of purchases a new visitor is likely to make from your website. Using the same inputs or data we can construct this second model by simply changing the output from Total Sales to Number of Sales (Figure 9-25).</FONT><FONT FACE='Times New Roman, Times, Serif' SIZE=3 COLOR=#FFFF00><!-- break --></FONT></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3></TD></TR><TR>  <TD COLSPAN=3 HEIGHT=1></TD></TR></TABLE><A NAME='{AD6}'/></FORM></P></TD></TR></TABLE><P><FONT SIZE=0 COLOR=WHITE></CENTER><A NAME="bottom">&nbsp;</A><!-- netLibrary.com Copyright Notice -->  </BODY></HTML>

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