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<P><HEAD><TITLE>Reasoning About Uncertainty</TITLE></HEAD><BODY><P> <BR> <HR> <!WA0><!WA0><!WA0><!WA0><!WA0><!WA0><!WA0><!WA0><A HREF="http://www.cs.cornell.edu/Info/People/halpern/node5.html"> <!WA1><!WA1><!WA1><!WA1><!WA1><!WA1><!WA1><!WA1><IMG ALIGN=BOTTOM ALT="up" SRC="http://cbl.leeds.ac.uk/nikos/figs//up_motif.gif"></A> <!WA2><!WA2><!WA2><!WA2><!WA2><!WA2><!WA2><!WA2><A HREF="http://www.cs.cornell.edu/Info/People/halpern/rak.html"> <!WA3><!WA3><!WA3><!WA3><!WA3><!WA3><!WA3><!WA3><IMG ALIGN=BOTTOM ALT="previous" SRC="http://cbl.leeds.ac.uk/nikos/figs//previous_motif.gif"></A><BR><B>Up:</B> <!WA4><!WA4><!WA4><!WA4><!WA4><!WA4><!WA4><!WA4><A HREF="http://www.cs.cornell.edu/Info/People/halpern/node5.html">Teaching Experience</A> <B> Previous:</B> <!WA5><!WA5><!WA5><!WA5><!WA5><!WA5><!WA5><!WA5><A HREF="http://www.cs.cornell.edu/Info/People/halpern/rak.html">Reasoning About Knowledge</A><BR> <HR> <P><H1>Reasoning About Uncertainty (COM S 677): <BR>Course Description</H1> Agents must reason and act in an uncertain world.In order to do so intelligently, they need to deal with andreason about this uncertainty.This course discusses modeling and reasoning about uncertainty,going from purely qualitative notions (an event is either possibleor it is not) to quantitative notions such as probability (anevent has probability .8), with some consideration of in-betweennotions of plausibility. We consider various logics of reasoningabout uncertainty, both propositional and first-order, and discussthe subtleties they reveal.Finally, we discuss how our approachesgive us tools to understand and analyze centralproblems in the literature,including nonmonotonic reasoning and problems ofstatistical inference, particularly that of going from statisticalinformation to degrees of belief. Although many of the examples willbe drawn from the AI literature, the material is also relevant todistributed systems, philosophy, statistics, and game theory;We will try to make connections to work in all these areas.<P> While there is a lot of material on this subject, the course willfocus on recent trends (indeed, the readings will includea great deal of as-yet-unpublished material). </BODY>
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